Trump’s Odds Slide on Kalshi and Polymarket as Harris Rises
Crypto betters glued to the Presidential race have noticed something strange on major prediction markets. Former President Donald Trump’s once-solid lead on Kalshi and Polymarket is slipping, with the odds shifting toward Vice President Kamala Harris. On these crypto-favored markets, numbers don’t lie. Trump, who sat at a high 71.5% win probability on Polymarket in July, now hovers at a shaky 59.1%. Kalshi shows an even steeper slide, with Trump’s odds tumbling from a 65.2% peak to today’s lean 55%.
Crypto speculators, who often treat odds as gospel, are now feeling the shift. They notice Trump’s chances have dropped by an average of 3.8% across prediction platforms just this past week. And with Tuesday’s election hours away, there’s no shortage of speculation. Polymarket bettors are watching Harris close in, pushing this battle into the wire.
Harris Gains Swing State Strength as Trump’s Lead Narrows
This last-minute shakeup isn’t just noise—it’s reflecting big moves on the ground. Harris has surged on Polymarket odds for key swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan. These battlegrounds could be the deciders if the odds hold steady. Just days ago, a post from Polymarket’s official account on X added more intrigue, stating, “Kamala Harris is gaining ground.” Voters tuning into Harris’s late-game momentum might sense an upset brewing.
Crypto betters are buzzing about why Harris is creeping up in Florida odds, especially with Puerto Rican voters leaning her way. Comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s unexpected comments at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally last week seem to have rallied Harris support. Some think the remark nudged a few hesitant voters, but others believe it’s just one of many factors driving her rise.
French High Roller Théo Bets Big on Trump with $30 Million Stake
Yet, amid the odds fluctuations and Polymarket’s updates, there’s a surprising player in the crypto betting game—a French gambler named Théo. This self-proclaimed ex-trader staked $30 million on Trump’s victory, eyeing an $80 million payout if Trump wins. Théo insists he’s no political crusader, but rather just an “observer” with a high-risk taste. In his mind, mainstream polls are skewed, placing Trump’s true odds at 80-90%. Théo’s all-in wager has caused a stir, but he’s sticking to his strategy, awaiting a payout that could rewrite the record books if Trump pulls off a win.
Crypto markets buzz as traders await Election Day results, reading every slight shift in odds and speculating on Théo’s wild gamble.
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